Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.156118 0.181295 0.209272 0.242673 0.281484 0.325180 0.378147
2025-04-20 0.119960 0.154550 0.197159 0.253556 0.326347 0.417281 0.539764
2025-04-27 0.100035 0.138584 0.189622 0.262246 0.363167 0.498821 0.695677
2025-05-04 0.086301 0.126810 0.183675 0.269499 0.396162 0.576897 0.855651
2025-05-11 0.074738 0.115534 0.175761 0.271402 0.420088 0.643500 1.006773
2025-05-18 0.064733 0.104687 0.166378 0.268886 0.435822 0.698506 1.146319
2025-05-25 0.055552 0.093592 0.154768 0.260694 0.440634 0.735933 1.261525
2025-06-01 0.050847 0.088995 0.152718 0.267377 0.469989 0.815821 1.456715
2025-06-08 0.045899 0.083235 0.147842 0.268331 0.489216 0.880317 1.632958
2025-06-15 0.042265 0.079252 0.145422 0.273073 0.515364 0.959504 1.845305
2025-06-22 0.037654 0.072856 0.137830 0.267221 0.520971 1.001537 1.992783
2025-06-29 0.034110 0.068003 0.132455 0.264765 0.532472 1.055541 2.169798
2025-07-06 0.031248 0.064196 0.128755 0.265383 0.550642 1.125773 2.391329
2025-07-13 0.029870 0.063207 0.130485 0.277219 0.593228 1.250427 2.743764
2025-07-20 0.028373 0.061767 0.131093 0.286728 0.632040 1.371911 3.105854
2025-07-27 0.026864 0.060101 0.131003 0.294668 0.668368 1.492409 3.482064
2025-08-03 0.025009 0.057434 0.128431 0.296751 0.691818 1.587368 3.812596
2025-08-10 0.022974 0.054102 0.123991 0.293997 0.703749 1.657623 4.094223
2025-08-17 0.020714 0.049971 0.117260 0.285030 0.699836 1.690490 4.289301
2025-08-24 0.019765 0.048838 0.117328 0.292345 0.736211 1.823668 4.753261
2025-08-31 0.018502 0.046786 0.114971 0.293389 0.757107 1.921509 5.139926
2025-09-07 0.017588 0.045493 0.114301 0.298580 0.789180 2.051190 5.628391
2025-09-14 0.016125 0.042620 0.109376 0.292174 0.790147 2.101061 5.907631